Here’s my CV.
If you have trouble accessing any of my articles or would like to have additional information, feel free to contact me anytime!
Preprints
Rohrer, J. M., & Arel-Bundock, V. (preprint). Models as prediction machines: How to convert confusing coefficients into clear quantities. preprint on the OSF, preprint hosted on this website
Rohrer, J. M., & Lucas, R. E. (preprint). Causal effects of well-being on health: It’s complicated. preprint on the OSF, preprint hosted on this website
2025
Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J.M., Penke, L., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). No average treatment effect and low heterogeneity of hormonal contraceptive use on women’s well-being. Registered Report Stage 2. Peer-reviewed & recommended by Peer Community In: Registered Reports. Link to peer-reviewed final manuscript (Stage 2)
Mader, N., Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., Buecker, S., Denissen, J. J. A., Dufner, M., Horstmann, K. T., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). Estimating the reliability and stability of emotional variability across time. Collabra: Psychology.
Link to article
Rohrer, J.M. & Paulewicz, B. (2025). Rethinking measurement invariance causally. Current Research in Ecological and Social Psychology. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M. (2025). Thinking clearly about age, period, and cohort effects. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., Smith, G. D., & Munafò, M. (2025). What can be learned when multiple analysts arrive at different estimates. European Journal of Epidemiology. Link to article
Schmukle S.C. & Rohrer J.M. (2025). Clarifying the choice of confidence intervals in psychological testing: A Comment on Stanley and Spence (2024). Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J.M., Penke, L., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). Positive treatment effects and high heterogeneity of hormonal contraceptive use on women’s sexuality. Registered Report Stage 2 and 1. Peer-reviewed & recommended by Peer Community In: Registered Reports. Link to peer-reviewed final manuscript (Stage 2)
2024
van Dongen, N. N. N., Finnemann, A., de Ron, J., Tiokhin, L., Wang, S. B., Algermissen, J., … Borsboom, D. (in press). Practicing theory building in a many modelers hackathon: A proof of concept. Meta-Psychology. preprint
Rohrer, J. M., & Wenz, S. E. (2024). Inappropriate causal assumptions underlie Killingsworth, Kahneman, and Mellers‘ conclusions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article
Bailey, D. H., Jung, A. J., Beltz, A. M., Eronen, M. I., Gische, C., Hamaker, E. L., Kording, K. P., Lebel, C., Lindquist, M. A., Moeller, J., Razi, A., Rohrer, J. M., Zhang, B., & Murayama, K. (2024). Causal inference on human behaviour. Nature Human Behaviour. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., Seifert, I. S., Arslan, R. C., Sun, J., & Schmukle, S. C. (2024). The Effects of Satisfaction with Different Domains of Life on General Life Satisfaction Vary Between Individuals (But We Cannot Tell You Why). Collabra: Psychology. Link to article
Lucas, R. E., & Rohrer, J. M. (2024). On the Robustness of Reciprocal Associations Between Personality and Religiosity in a German Sample. Journal of Personality. Link to article
Clarke, B., Alley, L. J., Ghai, S., Flake, J. K., Rohrer, J. M., Simmons, J. P., Schiavone, S. R., & Vazire, S. (2024). Looking our limitations in the eye: A call for more thorough and honest reporting of study limitations. Social and Personality Psychology Compass. Link to article
Chatton, A., & Rohrer, J. M. (2024). The Causal Cookbook: Recipes for propensity scores, g-computation, and doubly robust standardization. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M. (2024). Causal inference for psychologists who think that causal inference is not for them. Social and Personality Psychology Compass. Link to article
Grosz, M. P., Ayaita, A., Arslan, R. C., Buecker, S., Ebert, T., Hünermund, P., Müller, S. Rieger, S., Zapko-Willmes, A., Rohrer, J. M. (2024). Natural Experiments: Missed Opportunities for Causal Inference in Psychology. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Krämer, M. D., Rohrer, J. M., Lucas, R. E., & Richter, D. (2024). Life events and life satisfaction: Estimating effects of multiple life events in combined models. European Journal of Personality. Link to article
2023
Seifert, I. S., Rohrer, J. M., & Schmukle, S. C. (in press). Using within-person change in three large panel studies to estimate personality age trajectories. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. Link to preprint.
Mader, N., Arslan, R. C., Schmukle, S. C., & Rohrer, J. M. (2023). Emotional (in)stability: Neuroticism is associated with increased variability in negative emotion after all. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article, preprint
Rohrer, J. M., & Murayama, K. (2023). These are not the effects you are looking for: Causality and the within-/between-person distinction in logitudinal data analysis. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article.
2022
Deffner, D., Rohrer, J. M., & McElreath, R. (2022). A causal framework for cross-cultural generalizability. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Haber, N. A., Wieten, S. E., Rohrer, J. M.,…& Fox, M. P. (2022). Causal and Associational Language in Observational Health Research: A Systematic Evaluation. American Journal of Epidemiology. Link to article, preprint
Dudek, T., Brenøe, A. A.,Feld, J., & Rohrer, J. M. (2022). No Evidence That Siblings’ Gender Affects Personality Across Nine Countries. Psychological Science. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., Hünermund, P., Arslan, R. C., & Elson, M. (2022). That’s a lot to process! Pitfalls of Popular Path Models. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Seifert, I. S., Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2022). The Development of the Rank-Order Stability of the Big Five Across the Life Span. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Personality Processes and Individual Differences. preprint
Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., & McElreath, R. (2022). The Only Thing that can Stop Bad Causal Inference is Good Causal Inference. Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Link to article, preprint
2021
Nosek, B. A., Hardwicke, T. E., Moshontz, H., Allard, A., Corker, K. S., Dreber, A., Fidler, F., Hilgard, J., Kline Struhl, M., Nuijten, M., Rohrer, J. M., Romero, F., Scheel., A., Scherer, L., Schönbrodt, F., & Vazire, S. (2021). Replicability, Robustness, and Reproducibility in Psychological Science. Annual Review of Psychology. Link to article, preprint
Atherton, O.E., Chung, J.M., Harris, K., Rohrer, J.M., Condon, D.M., Cheung, F., Vazire, S., Lucas, R.E., Donnellan, M.B., Mroczek, D.K., Soto, C.J., Antonoplis, S., Damian, R.I., Funder, D.C., Srivastava, S., Fraley, R.C., Jach, H., Roberts, B.W., Smillie, L.D., Sun, J., Tackett, J.L., Weston, S.J., Harden, K.P., & Corker, K.S. (2021). Why has personality psychology played an outsized role in the credibility revolution? Personality Science. Link to article
Rohrer, J.M., Keller, T., & Elwert, F. (2021). Proximity Can Induce Diverse Friendships: A Large Randomized Classroom Experiment. PLOS ONE. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M.,* & Arslan, R. C.* (2021). Precise Answers to Vague Questions: Issues With Interactions. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. (* contributed equally) Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., Tierney, W., Uhlmann, E. L., DeBruine, L. M., Heyman, T., Jones, B., Schmukle, S. C., Silberzahn, R., Willén, R. M., Carlsson, R., Lucas, R. E., Strand, J., Vazire, S., Witt, J. K., Zentall, T. R., Chabris, C. F., & Yarkoni, T. (2021). Putting the Self in Self-Correction: Findings from the Loss-of-Confidence Project. Perspectives on Psychological Science. Link to article
2020
Grosz, M. P., Rohrer, J. M., & Thoemmes, F. (2020). The Taboo Against Explicit Causal Inference in Nonexperimental Psychology. Perspectives on Psychological Science. Link to article
Engzell, P.,* & Rohrer, J.M.* (2020). Improving Social Science: Lessons from the Open Science Movement. PS: Political Science & Politics. (* contributed equally) Link to article
Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J. M., & Arslan, R. C. (2020). Analysing Effects of Birth Order on Intelligence, Educational Attainment, Big Five, and Risk Aversion in an Indonesian Sample. European Journal of Personality. Link to article
2019
Weston, S. J., Ritchie, S. J., Rohrer, J. M., & Przybylski, A. K. (2019). Recommendations for Increasing the Transparency of Analysis of Pre-Existing Datasets. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint
Brown, N. J., & Rohrer, J. M. (2019). Easy as (Happiness) Pie? A Critical Evaluation of a Popular Model of the Determinants of Well-Being. Journal of Happiness Studies. Link to article
Meyer, P., Schophaus, F. M., Glassen, T., Riedl, J., Rohrer, J. M., Wagner, G. G., von Oertzen, T. (2019). Using the Dirichlet Process to Form Clusters of People’s Concerns in the Context of Future Party Identification. PLOS ONE. Link to article
2018
Rohrer, J. M., Richter, D., Brümmer, M., Wagner, G. G., Schmukle, S. C. (2018). Successfully Striving for Happiness: Socially Engaged Pursuits Predict Increases in Life Satisfaction. Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint, OSF project
Rohrer, J. M. (2018). Thinking Clearly About Correlations and Causation: Graphical Causal Models for Observational Data. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., & Schmukle, S. C. (2018). Individual Importance Weighting of Domain Satisfaction Ratings Does Not Increase Validity. Collabra: Psychology. Link to article, OSF project
Rohrer, J. M., Brümmer, M., Schupp, J., & Wagner, G. G. (2018). Worries Across Time and Age in the German Socio-Economic Panel Study. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. Link to article
Rohrer, J. M., & Lucas, R. E. (2018). Only so Many Hours: Correlations Between Personality and Daily Time Use in a Representative German Panel. Collabra: Psychology. Link to article, OSF project
Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., Kosinski, M., Stillwell, D., & Schmukle, S. C. (2018). In your eyes only? Discrepancies and agreement between self- and other-reports of personality from age 14 to 29, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. Link to article, preprint, OSF project
2017
Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2017). Probing Birth-Order Effects on Narrow Traits Using Specification Curve Analysis. Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint, OSF project
Rohrer, J. M., Brümmer, M., Schmukle, S. C., Goebel, J., & Wagner, G. G. (2017). „What else are you worried about?“ – Integrating textual responses into quantitative social science research. PLOS ONE. Link to article, OSF project
2015
Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2015) Examining the effects of birth order on personality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article, OSF project