CV & Publications

Here’s my CV.

If you have trouble accessing any of my articles or would like to have additional information, feel free to contact me anytime!

Preprints

Rohrer, J. M., & Arel-Bundock, V. (preprint). Models as prediction machines: How to convert confusing coefficients into clear quantities. preprint on the OSF, preprint hosted on this website

Rohrer, J. M., & Lucas, R. E. (preprint). Causal effects of well-being on health: It’s complicated. preprint on the OSF, preprint hosted on this website

2025

Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J.M., Penke, L., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). No average treatment effect and low heterogeneity of hormonal contraceptive use on women’s well-being. Registered Report Stage 2. Peer-reviewed & recommended by Peer Community In: Registered Reports. Link to peer-reviewed final manuscript (Stage 2)

Mader, N., Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., Buecker, S., Denissen, J. J. A., Dufner, M., Horstmann, K. T., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). Estimating the reliability and stability of emotional variability across time. Collabra: Psychology.
Link to article

Rohrer, J.M. & Paulewicz, B. (2025). Rethinking measurement invariance causally. Current Research in Ecological and Social Psychology. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M. (2025). Thinking clearly about age, period, and cohort effects. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., Smith, G. D., & Munafò, M. (2025). What can be learned when multiple analysts arrive at different estimates. European Journal of Epidemiology. Link to article

Schmukle S.C. & Rohrer J.M. (2025). Clarifying the choice of confidence intervals in psychological testing: A Comment on Stanley and Spence (2024). Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J.M., Penke, L., & Arslan, R. C. (2025). Positive treatment effects and high heterogeneity of hormonal contraceptive use on women’s sexuality. Registered Report Stage 2 and 1. Peer-reviewed & recommended by Peer Community In: Registered Reports. Link to peer-reviewed final manuscript (Stage 2)

2024

van Dongen, N. N. N., Finnemann, A., de Ron, J., Tiokhin, L., Wang, S. B., Algermissen, J., … Borsboom, D. (in press). Practicing theory building in a many modelers hackathon: A proof of concept. Meta-Psychology. preprint

Rohrer, J. M., & Wenz, S. E. (2024). Inappropriate causal assumptions underlie Killingsworth, Kahneman, and Mellers‘ conclusions.  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article

Bailey, D. H., Jung, A. J., Beltz, A. M., Eronen, M. I., Gische, C., Hamaker, E. L., Kording, K. P., Lebel, C., Lindquist, M. A., Moeller, J., Razi, A., Rohrer, J. M., Zhang, B., & Murayama, K. (2024). Causal inference on human behaviour. Nature Human Behaviour. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., Seifert, I. S., Arslan, R. C., Sun, J., & Schmukle, S. C. (2024). The Effects of Satisfaction with Different Domains of Life on General Life Satisfaction Vary Between Individuals (But We Cannot Tell You Why). Collabra: Psychology. Link to article

Lucas, R. E., & Rohrer, J. M. (2024). On the Robustness of Reciprocal Associations Between Personality and Religiosity in a German Sample. Journal of Personality. Link to article

Clarke, B., Alley, L. J., Ghai, S., Flake, J. K., Rohrer, J. M., Simmons, J. P., Schiavone, S. R., & Vazire, S. (2024). Looking our limitations in the eye: A call for more thorough and honest reporting of study limitations. Social and Personality Psychology Compass. Link to article

Chatton, A., & Rohrer, J. M. (2024). The Causal Cookbook: Recipes for propensity scores, g-computation, and doubly robust standardization. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M. (2024). Causal inference for psychologists who think that causal inference is not for them. Social and Personality Psychology Compass. Link to article

Grosz, M. P., Ayaita, A., Arslan, R. C., Buecker, S., Ebert, T., Hünermund, P., Müller, S. Rieger, S., Zapko-Willmes, A., Rohrer, J. M. (2024). Natural Experiments: Missed Opportunities for Causal Inference in Psychology. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Krämer, M. D., Rohrer, J. M., Lucas, R. E., & Richter, D. (2024). Life events and life satisfaction: Estimating effects of multiple life events in combined models. European Journal of Personality. Link to article

2023

Seifert, I. S., Rohrer, J. M., & Schmukle, S. C. (in press). Using within-person change in three large panel studies to estimate personality age trajectories. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. Link to preprint.

Mader, N., Arslan, R. C., Schmukle, S. C., & Rohrer, J. M. (2023). Emotional (in)stability: Neuroticism is associated with increased variability in negative emotion after all. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article, preprint

Rohrer, J. M., & Murayama, K. (2023). These are not the effects you are looking for: Causality and the within-/between-person distinction in logitudinal data analysis. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article.

2022

Deffner, D., Rohrer, J. M., & McElreath, R. (2022). A causal framework for cross-cultural generalizability. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Haber, N. A., Wieten, S. E., Rohrer, J. M.,…& Fox, M. P. (2022). Causal and Associational Language in Observational Health Research: A Systematic Evaluation. American Journal of Epidemiology. Link to article, preprint

Dudek, T., Brenøe, A. A.,Feld, J., & Rohrer, J. M. (2022). No Evidence That Siblings’ Gender Affects Personality Across Nine Countries. Psychological Science. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., Hünermund, P., Arslan, R. C., & Elson, M. (2022). That’s a lot to process! Pitfalls of Popular Path Models. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Seifert, I. S., Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2022). The Development of the Rank-Order Stability of the Big Five Across the Life Span. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Personality Processes and Individual Differences. preprint

Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., & McElreath, R. (2022). The Only Thing that can Stop Bad Causal Inference is Good Causal Inference. Behavioral and Brain Sciences. Link to article, preprint

2021

Nosek, B. A., Hardwicke, T. E., Moshontz, H., Allard, A., Corker, K. S., Dreber, A., Fidler, F., Hilgard, J., Kline Struhl, M., Nuijten, M., Rohrer, J. M., Romero, F., Scheel., A., Scherer, L., Schönbrodt, F., & Vazire, S. (2021). Replicability, Robustness, and Reproducibility in Psychological Science. Annual Review of Psychology. Link to article, preprint

Atherton, O.E., Chung, J.M., Harris, K., Rohrer, J.M., Condon, D.M., Cheung, F., Vazire, S., Lucas, R.E., Donnellan, M.B., Mroczek, D.K., Soto, C.J., Antonoplis, S., Damian, R.I., Funder, D.C., Srivastava, S., Fraley, R.C., Jach, H., Roberts, B.W., Smillie, L.D., Sun, J., Tackett, J.L., Weston, S.J., Harden, K.P., & Corker, K.S. (2021). Why has personality psychology played an outsized role in the credibility revolution? Personality Science. Link to article

Rohrer, J.M., Keller, T., & Elwert, F. (2021). Proximity Can Induce Diverse Friendships: A Large Randomized Classroom Experiment. PLOS ONE. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M.,* & Arslan, R. C.* (2021). Precise Answers to Vague Questions: Issues With Interactions. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. (* contributed equally) Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., Tierney, W., Uhlmann, E. L., DeBruine, L. M., Heyman, T., Jones, B., Schmukle, S. C., Silberzahn, R., Willén, R. M., Carlsson, R., Lucas, R. E., Strand, J., Vazire, S., Witt, J. K., Zentall, T. R., Chabris, C. F., & Yarkoni, T. (2021). Putting the Self in Self-Correction: Findings from the Loss-of-Confidence Project. Perspectives on Psychological Science. Link to article

2020

Grosz, M. P., Rohrer, J. M., & Thoemmes, F. (2020). The Taboo Against Explicit Causal Inference in Nonexperimental Psychology. Perspectives on Psychological Science. Link to article

Engzell, P.,* & Rohrer, J.M.* (2020). Improving Social Science: Lessons from the Open Science Movement. PS: Political Science & Politics. (* contributed equally) Link to article

Botzet, L. J., Rohrer, J. M., & Arslan, R. C. (2020). Analysing Effects of Birth Order on Intelligence, Educational Attainment, Big Five, and Risk Aversion in an Indonesian Sample. European Journal of Personality. Link to article

2019

Weston, S. J., Ritchie, S. J., Rohrer, J. M., & Przybylski, A. K. (2019). Recommendations for Increasing the Transparency of Analysis of Pre-Existing Datasets. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint

Brown, N. J., & Rohrer, J. M. (2019). Easy as (Happiness) Pie? A Critical Evaluation of a Popular Model of the Determinants of Well-Being. Journal of Happiness Studies. Link to article

Meyer, P., Schophaus, F. M., Glassen, T., Riedl, J., Rohrer, J. M., Wagner, G. G., von Oertzen, T. (2019). Using the Dirichlet Process to Form Clusters of People’s Concerns in the Context of Future Party Identification. PLOS ONE. Link to article

2018

Rohrer, J. M., Richter, D., Brümmer, M., Wagner, G. G., Schmukle, S. C. (2018). Successfully Striving for Happiness: Socially Engaged Pursuits Predict Increases in Life Satisfaction. Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint, OSF project

Rohrer, J. M. (2018). Thinking Clearly About Correlations and Causation: Graphical Causal Models for Observational Data. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., & Schmukle, S. C. (2018). Individual Importance Weighting of Domain Satisfaction Ratings Does Not Increase Validity. Collabra: Psychology. Link to article, OSF project

Rohrer, J. M., Brümmer, M., Schupp, J., & Wagner, G. G. (2018). Worries Across Time and Age in the German Socio-Economic Panel Study. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. Link to article

Rohrer, J. M., & Lucas, R. E. (2018). Only so Many Hours: Correlations Between Personality and Daily Time Use in a Representative German Panel. Collabra: Psychology. Link to article, OSF project

Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., Kosinski, M., Stillwell, D., & Schmukle, S. C. (2018). In your eyes only? Discrepancies and agreement between self- and other-reports of personality from age 14 to 29, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. Link to article, preprint, OSF project

2017

Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2017). Probing Birth-Order Effects on Narrow Traits Using Specification Curve Analysis. Psychological Science. Link to article, preprint, OSF project

Rohrer, J. M., Brümmer, M., Schmukle, S. C., Goebel, J., & Wagner, G. G. (2017). „What else are you worried about?“ – Integrating textual responses into quantitative social science research. PLOS ONE. Link to article, OSF project

2015

Rohrer, J. M., Egloff, B., & Schmukle, S. C. (2015) Examining the effects of birth order on personality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Link to article, OSF project